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Weather

Late Oct. – mid-Nov. — what to expect, city by city

Group cities · Oct. 26 – Nov. 7

City	Low	High	Rain chance	Feel
Lisbon	54–56°	66–68°	~29%	Mild, Atlantic. Showers come in stretches — pack a shell.
Fátima	45–47°	62–65°	~31%	Cooler + wetter inland. The Shrine — incl. the evening Candlelight Procession — is outdoors; umbrella + warm layer.
Sevilla	52–55°	70–73°	~22%	Warmest stop; mostly dry, comfortable days.
Madrid	41–44°	60–63°	~22%	Dry and sunny with cold mornings — real coat + layers.
Barcelona	49–52°	64–67°	~16%	Lowest rain odds; sunny with the odd shower. Light jacket.

Continuation · Nov. 7–16 (route provisional)

City	Low	High	Rain chance	Feel
Valencia	52–55°	69–71°	~18%	Mild Mediterranean — the warmest, nearly the driest continuation stop. Light layers.
San Sebastián	49–52°	61–64°	~36%	Wettest option — atmospheric Basque mist, not drenching. Rain shell essential.
Madrid	41–44°	60–63°	~22%	Dry, sunny, cold mornings; the flight-home base for Nov. 16.

Continuation route provisional (Valencia → San Sebastián → Madrid) — see the Schedule page.

Packing takeaways

Layers + a rain shell cover the whole trip. The pattern splits sharply: Atlantic west (Lisbon, Fátima) and the Basque coast are the wet ones; Sevilla and Valencia are warm-dry; Madrid is cool-dry.
Warmest → coolest: Sevilla & Valencia (low 70s) → Lisbon / Barcelona → Fátima → Madrid (coolest).
Bring a proper coat for Madrid — mornings dip into the low 40s, coolest on the trip.
Highest rain odds: San Sebastián (~36%), then Fátima (~31%) and Lisbon (~29%). Barcelona is the driest (~16%).
Rain-critical outdoor moments: the Fátima Candlelight Procession (Wed. Oct. 28) and any open-air soccer seats — check the day-of forecast.

Figures are November climate averages (daily low/high; "rain chance" = the typical chance of a wet day), pulled Sept. 5, 2026 from Weather Spark — each city name links to its source page. Late October runs a few degrees warmer than these early-November numbers. These are averages, not a forecast. Temps in °F.